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Match predictions.
The Athletic
Leeds United vs Newcastle

Duncan says: "Leeds topped The Athletic's fabled Hope-o-meter before the season started, but I suspect if we re-ran the numbers right now Newcastle would be a little higher than the lowly 17th they occupied before the Matthias Jaissle era gathered some momentum. But Leeds may still be top, they look energetic, high-octane, full of beans — and under the Elland Road lights on Monday it could be a bit much, a bit soon for Jaissle's new-look squad. Should be a great game, though."

HOME WIN

3-2

Duncan Alexander
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Newcastle's draw with Bournemouth was a little reminder that this rebuild under Matthias Jaissle could be quite volatile at times. The Toon have scored six goals from an expected goals return of just three and have faced the most shots of any team this season, hinting at an overperformance.

Leeds are a reliable team to bet on. You know exactly what you're going to get. Usually that means Daniel Farke's team avoiding defeat which is what they've done in 11 of their last 12 Premier League games. They defend with great organisation and attack with authority. They are 11/8 with Sky Bet to win.

I do like that home win but I also like the prospects of Matias Fernandez-Pardo drawing cards for Newcastle. He could be in line for his first start having come off the bench in the last two games in all competitions. The £51m signing was Lille's main man in Ligue 1 last season and drew 15 cards in just over 3,000 minutes of action - an impressive strike-rate.

This leaves Ethan Ampadu vulnerable to card at 3/1 with Sky Bet based on his record of being booked 10 times last season.

SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 | JONES KNOWS' BEST BET: Ethan Ampadu to be carded (3/1 with Sky Bet)

Dette konkluderte de fleste med i sommer, Shea Charles var en mulighet som lå der, forynge stallen, mer enn et behov vi hadde i sommer:

What was the reality of the Shea Charles situation?

We had our overall squad-building goals, we had our financial parameters, and we had a view on where we could fit the player in terms of the sacrifices or compromises elsewhere that have to happen because of him.

At some point, you hit a point where it felt like it's not the right thing for us to do, and so you walk away from that. Again, that was more of a market opportunity. There weren't a lot of players in midfield we felt had the right age, profile, and fit to go after.

When we didn't get that one, it wasn't an urgent need to go and sign a midfielder because our midfield is quite strong, actually. It was worth looking into, and we did, and then at some point it felt like it was no longer the right value for us, and the best move was to have the discipline to walk away.

...man fikk også spurt om alle lånene ut i stedet for salg (Berens artikkel):
Why were some players loaned out when a permanent exit seemed possible?

We can't rule out any players on loan coming back to be part of the squad. Some of those loans are what I'll call "featuring loans", as those players could go and play more elsewhere and get minutes, to get themselves either a move elsewhere or to come back here having played more.

Stepping back a bit more broadly on the topic of selling, it is a lot harder than it gets credit for. This is especially true in our current position as a promoted team, when you're selling players who either helped you get out of the Championship, were added in our first year in the Premier League, or are from our previous stint in the Premier League.

The buying market for those players is quite narrow, covering teams at the very top of the Championship, at the bottom of the Premier League, and maybe a handful of teams in Europe. In general, if you look across the league, selling is getting harder and harder because the price tag of players looking to leave England is now a price tag most teams in Europe can't pay, whereas 20 years ago that wasn't the case.

You're seeing the Premier League pulling beyond the middle market or even upper middle market in Spain, Italy, France, even Germany to some extent. I would rate our summer of getting players out as a relative success.

Certainly, we'd like permanents in some cases, more than loans. But even with the loans, some obligations are pretty likely to trigger. In general, Adam and Andrew Taylor (loans manager) did a great job of getting players into solutions that work for us and for them.

That's the last and most key part of it: selling is not just finding a team that wants your players. If the players don't also want to go there, we need to be mindful of that. We have to find the overlap of a team that wants your player, a team the player wants to leave the Premier League to join, offering at a price the team is willing to pay and a price we think is appropriate.

Finding that intersection gets pretty tight and was a ton of work. There was probably as much work on that as the inbounds, frankly.

Robbie Evans snakket torsdag med pressen om transfervinduet.
Leeds-Live delt det i to artikler (spørsmål/svar):

https://www.leeds-live.co.uk/sport/leeds-united/leeds-united-transfers-robbie-evans-34600784

https://www.leeds-live.co.uk/sport/leeds-united/jean-matteo-bahoyas-leeds-united-34603623

Samme sak, men her fra Berens versjon. Om hva SCR betydde foross ijuni:
It felt surprising you needed to sell Pascal (Struijk) to meet the PSR (profit and sustainability rules) limit...

I was a bit surprised at how confident some people were that we were far clearer (on) PSR last summer because we said back in September we were unequivocally maxed out. You never quite know where you end up on PSR or SCR until the season's over because your financials are constantly evolving.

I was pretty confident coming into the year we'd have to sell some guys in June. Frankly, it was the cup run, the 14th-place finish, and doing pretty minimal work in January that kept it to being just one player.


Leeds sold Struijk this summerLuke Walker/Getty Images
Last August, we were prepared for it to be two if it had to be because the goal was to go as hard as you have to go to build the best possible squad to survive. That was a risk we took on last summer.

We knew that was going to be a possible issue in June, depending on the outcome of the season, and so Pascal was the solution for that. Thankfully, it's just one player, not more than one.

https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7582412/2026/09/11/leeds-robbie-evans-interview-daniel-farke-contract/

Robbie Evans snakket torsdag med pressen om transfervinduet.
Leeds-Live delt det i to artikler (spørsmål/svar):

https://www.leeds-live.co.uk/sport/leeds-united/leeds-united-transfers-robbie-evans-34600784

https://www.leeds-live.co.uk/sport/leeds-united/jean-matteo-bahoyas-leeds-united-34603623

Potensialet er der jo. Og dette må vi jo si at Farke har vært god til å hente ut før. Men jeg er enig i at det virket litt rart med tanke på hva som er blitt sagt om mennesketypene de ser etter. Så vet jeg jo likevel ikke en dritt om Mudryk. Kanskje er han en helt konge fyr som gjorde noe stokk dumt.

Madryk-interessen var ...underlig. Greit nok at vi kunne (evt) hente en ekstra spiller i en annen posisjon om vi fikk ham inn. Men vi kunne altså ha fått en som ikke bidro i det hele tatt. Nå er han vel ute halve høsten allerede...

Nå har vi i det minste en spennende spiller med potensiale - om han får det ut vet vi jo ikke ennå.

Jeg er naturlig nok ikke imponert/fornøyd med kampen i går. Men jeg synes det kunne vært litt større fokus på Chelsea sin kvalitet, imponerende når de satte innpå a- laget. Da ble vi regelrett utspilt, ikke så rart tenker jeg. Jeg har ikke vurdert Leeds som topp 6 kandidat denne sesongen, og det er faktisk så stor forskjell på topp 3 og midten/nedre halvdel, som jeg mener er realistisk for vår del. Og når det meste klaffer for et lag og det andre laget er både udyktig og uheldig, ja da blir det fort slike siffer.

...bare for å forlenge det du skriver, gode Dylanvenn
Jeg anser denne sesongen Chelsea som en utfordrer hèlt der oppe. Topp tre. Arsenal.. kanskje ikke. Men et svekket Manchester City (om de èr svekket) vil de kanskje utfordre.

Vi møtte kvalitet i går. De har kanskje igjen en manager som evner å utnytte spillermateriellet.

Denne tråden forlenger 'del 30.

Del 30 finner du her: https://forum.leedsunited.no/index.php?topic=24691.1200

Foreløpig ser den ut til å ende på 41 sider.


Det er sjelden januarvinduet bringer oss noe særlig.  Slik ligger det vel an nå også. Men en skade f.eks på DCL vil gjerne gjøre at behovet melder seg.

Anyways - vi kjører debatten her.

Noahs egne ord:

https://x.com/_ed19/status/2098015791358624160?s=20

[Farke here]

Farke here
Rodon still out but apart from this no new injury concerns.

Newcastle
A good bright start for them. Not met him yet but what I can say is that I appreciate what Howe did. I think he left a legacy after so many years.Never easy for a manager to follow these footsteps. But if you see how he interacts it feels like they have a strong bond. Difficult to beat.

[Reflecting on last night]

Fra pressekonferansen. Dette er on-the-spot-skriving så det blir unøyaktig og noe faller bort og da mister en sammenhengen, ,men ja:

Reflecting on last night
Was a mix from Chelsea's class and unlucky situations. And some decisions unlucky. We could have done better in a few scenes. We lacked a bit of being switched on. We addressed a few things we could have done a bit better.

On last night
Was a crazy game, can happen sometimes in the early rounds of the cup. Feels more like a tennis game. In the end, Chelsea - more or less every shot felt like it was on target.Not happy but we've already drawn a line under it. Bigger games ahead.

Game management
This is something that we talk about - how to deal with a sucker punch. By half time only one team was playing. They brought big guns in and we reacted perfectly. You could see even Palmer and Rogers shoulder were flat.Another 30 mins and the stadium is half empty. But then you have this moment...I didn't see the 2-1 coming and then within five mins they score two more. So quick can't really react. Then after we brought in our four key players.Changed the mood on the pitch, could sense it on the pitch. First time theese players played together in this constellation.You tell fourth official about subs then he has to put numbers in and of course we waited to do the subs. Sometimes I would agree and you can see it coming and react - but this penalty, didn't see it coming. If anyone did, they're much better than me.

What annoyed him most about last night
We conceded three goals out of a throw-in. Was a bit annoyed after momentum change that we didn't show awareness. There was not major topic that was [the reason]. One of those nights where eveything went in. Few things we could have done better but don't want to be too harsh.

Zetterer
Let's be honest it was a nightmare debut. Came in, was good for 55 minutes. One good save. Then 25 mins later six goals go in after six shots. You feel a bit for him, who wants such a debut?Perhapos for the second goal he could jump and dive but probably didn;t expect Palmer to shoot so soon.Sometimes in life, you can have the worst possible start. WIll have pressure next time. But they live a privleged life and plays for a big club.He's a good GK. Wish he showed that yesterday with a clean sheet, of course.

Bard debut
Difficult debut after a few overall really solid. Awareness could have done a bit better. Output good. Not a 10/10 but a solid start.

Straks pre match presser, så da må vi ha kamptråd klar.

Farke leverte et suverent årsverste når det gjelder game-management under denne kampen. De som ikke vil erkjenne dette fortjener ikke å bli tatt seriøst.

Men Farke har fremdeles gjort en kjempejobb i Leeds. Og det skal han selvfølgelig få fortsette med.

Nå ser vi frem mot kampen mot Newcastle. Der forventer vi å se et topp skjerpet lag, ledet av en langt mer proaktiv Daniel Farke enn den utgaven vi opplevde i går.

Game management er noe Farke ofte kritiseres for, og eg anser det som et av hans få  'flaws' som manager. I etterkant, når man vet hvordan en kamp ble, er det lett å påpeke hva som kunne blitt gjort annerledes. Sta er han, men det kan også være en god egenskap (Bielsas stahet blir som regel bare sett på som et gode...). Men ja, vi kunne ha byttet før. Hvorfor det ikke skjeddde skriver Cross om nedenfor, jeg tror også det handler om at han ville få spillere i gang, minutter i beina for Longstaff, for Bard, for James, for Wilson, for Nmecha - det ville komme oss til gode i serien.

Men baklengsene kom i løpet av minutter, de måtte gjøres klare på sidelinjen, og vipps hadde Chelsea scoret tre mål på sju minutter...

Chelsea hit those three goals in seven breathless minutes. It was not until the third went in that we saw Farke summon four substitutes. By the time they were ready to come on, Welbeck had scored the fourth, which again featured Muharemovic being beaten by Rogers down the flank, while Jaka Bijol was caught challenging the scorer in slow motion.

Could Farke have reacted more quickly to what was unfolding? Yes. Is that with hindsight, however? Leeds had been in control. Farke was right to see how they coped with Chelsea's half-time changes, but once the goals started flying in, it was relentless.

Even if he had asked for his substitutes to get ready at 2-1, which would have felt premature, it would have been 2-2 by the time they entered the field. In hindsight, making a decisive call at 2-2, in the 55th minute, five minutes before 3-2, would have been prudent.

Even then, a dubious penalty and lax marking at a throw were the difference and subs may have felt like a knee-jerk reaction. The Leeds players on the pitch should have managed the game better.

At 2-2, with the pressure growing, they had to find a way to kill the home momentum. Whether that meant going down with an injury to break up the flow or sitting in with a solid, deep shape for five minutes, the storm needed to be weathered.

Understandably, supporters may wonder if this disintegration should pose any lasting cause for concern. In short: no. This was a rare off-night in what has been a remarkable nine months.

Chelsea wildly outperformed their statistics, which Leeds actually matched. James Trafford will return to the side. This was a heavily rotated team without the usual level of cohesion. That will not be the case on Monday.

Ironically, Leeds will play Newcastle under the lights again in their next game, at Elland Road, when fans will want early reassurance this was a one-off.
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7580804/2026/09/10/leeds-chelsea-carabao-cup-chaos/?unlocked_article_code=1.AFE.2Cv6.ArPqGXCt7-ws&source=emp_shared_article&smid=url-share-ta

Vedr Longstaff. Jeg synes han så veldig lite sharp ut?  i pre-season synes jeg han var Leeds beste.
Tanaka er soleklar som starter i min bok.
I går var enda er solid tegn på at den sentrale midtbanen trenger påfyll av kvalitet neste sommervindu.

Dette er andre sesongstart på rad som har vært lik for Longstaff. En god preseason der han likevel ikke er i start-elleveren når sesongen begynner. Så får han etter hvert sjansen og har sett like mye borte ut i begge august/september...

...vil gjerne se Bahoya snart også!

Han var klar til å komme inn i går, ifølge Farke. Men så signaliserte Bard krampe...

https://www.leeds-live.co.uk/sport/leeds-united/controversy-quality-undo-leeds-united-34594587

...tar med et utdrag til herfra:
To be fair to the German, he cannot be blamed for all six goals. He almost got to Palmer's penalty and can argue he was unsighted by Jaka Bijol for the second. The third was simply a good finish from Neto.

However, the fourth went through him and, as mentioned, the fifth was his doing. The sixth, an intuitive if also lucky diversion header from Barco's wayward shot, cannot be pinned on him. But as debuts go, he will not wish to relive it.

Melvin Bard did better. A shaky opening 20 minutes that contained inaccurate passes and loose positioning - including leaving space for Estevao to get in, but for a wonderful James Justin tackle - left Farke infuriated more than once.


But the Frenchman - who did commit two fouls, won just 63% of his ground duels and none aerial - eventually stabilised and actually ended the game with an 87% pass completion rate, two successful dribbles and seven recoveries.

And he played a role in Dominic Calvert-Lewin's goal, his tackle-pass sending Noah Okafor away to tee up the striker. He had to come off with cramp but can be pleased with how he acclimatized and ended up being one of the better players on the pitch.

Leeds felt they ought to have had a spot kick when Noah Okafor - the most productive substitute - was felled after being clattered into just inside the area at 5-3. Farke told BBC Radio Leeds afterwards that the referee acknowledged he had made an error over the call and apologised.
https://www.leeds-live.co.uk/sport/leeds-united/controversy-quality-undo-leeds-united-34594587

Ja, hva skal man si? Når man sitter under kampen og fyrer løs på tastaturet med kommentarer som Farke out og lignende, da har man misforstått totalt hva som er en av hovedgrunnene til at vi ender på top half i år. Nemlig Daniel Farke!

Og kampen i seg sjøl, meget lærerik! Vi veit i alle fall nå at vi må be til høyere makter om at DCL holder seg skadefri. Og godt mulig vi hadde vunne denne med Trafford i mål! Longstaff dessverre ikkje i nærheten, men solid back-up på venstresiden i Bard. Med litt mer nøyaktighet og kvalitet på siste tredjedelen hadde vi ledet med 3-4 før straffen.
Og det som skjer fra 53-60 er jammen mykje uflaks krydret med litt udyktighet.

Mye kan (og vil) bli kritisert - men det er viktig å ha det større blikket ja.

Kontinuitet, la ham få fortsette å bygge dette. Setbacks kommer innimellom, håper som du det var mye læring i går (ja noen vil nok påstå han aldri lærer).

...argentisk skuespiller, ja. Men bortefansen:
Barco, after making the most of a Wilson tussle, being reminded by the away end the Falklands belong to the UK. #lufc
https://x.com/BerenCross/status/2097791854892736815?s=20

...vi er visst ikke hèlt kvitt London-spøkelset vårt ennå:
Since losing to Sunderland on 3 March, Leeds have lost just three out of 17 games - all three have been in London.

Last 15 games in London: LLLLDLLDDDDLDLL

It goes on. #lufc
https://x.com/JRCooper26/status/2097798525295669582?s=20

Syns det er presis pauserapport av Adonis:
HT Chelsea 0 #LUFC 1

Leeds weathered the London storm for the first 15 minutes, before finding their feet and growing into the game.

If you want an example of the upgrade Muharemović is on Struijk you can watch that first 45. Outstanding off and on the ball, positionally, and his wonderful header was a bullet and plan utter stunner.

Chelsea looked bullied at times by Leeds, and for one 10 minute period around the goal, had 71% possession and dominated all the attacking stats.

Teething problems for Alonso & his new signings, and the only worry for Leeds is they didn't capitalise on the periods of dominance with a second goal.

A few players looking a bit rusty especially in possession so these are valuable minutes on the pitch together.

Hopefully Leeds can ride the wave of the inevitable Chelsea reaction and find the opportunity to bring a few more on including the exciting Bahoya.
https://x.com/theadelites/status/2097779418701627743?s=20

Tribunen:
Home: "You're only here for the Chelsea."

Away: "You couldn't sell all your tickets."

Home: Savile, of course. #lufc
https://x.com/BerenCross/status/2097767492013683158?s=20

Isaac Johnson:
HT Chelsea 0-1 Leeds

Leeds worthy of the lead, but it's a game where the bench will probably decide matters.

As mentioned, Farke has been really unhappy at times. A real mixed bag. Not the best of debuts from Bard thus far. #lufc
https://x.com/isaacjohnsonLL/status/2097777468388053282?s=20

Beren følger opp:
Not seen Farke this animated in a long time. Leeds playing really well, but he knows they need to make more of their dominance. Seething with Bijol and Muharemovic sleeping in their positioning. Bard and Nmecha have frustrated him in moments, too. #lufc
https://x.com/BerenCross/status/2097774395557040336?s=20

Isaac Johnson:
HT Chelsea 0-1 Leeds

Leeds worthy of the lead, but it's a game where the bench will probably decide matters.

As mentioned, Farke has been really unhappy at times. A real mixed bag. Not the best of debuts from Bard thus far. #lufc
https://x.com/isaacjohnsonLL/status/2097777468388053282?s=20

Virker som Chelsea har bommet på laguttaket i forhold til hvem vi stiller med - men det kan endre seg når de setter inn skytset sitt (de er der på benken alle sammen).

Jaaaaaa. Glemmer at vi kan juble med en gang uten å vente på VAR.

 

Jepp. Vet ikke hvorfor, men bekreftet av Leeds på X nettopp.

Confirmed - due to travel delays for those getting to the ground #lufc
https://x.com/isaacjohnsonLL/status/2097757693242925310?s=20

Tipper det fortsatt er 3-4-2-1:

Zetterer - Muharemovic, Bijol, Justin - Bard, Ampadu, Longstaff, James - Wilson, Aaronson - Nmecha.

Men vi får se når vi starter om det heller er 4-2-3-1. Fleksibel oppstilling som kan endres underveis.

auren

...har du også begynt å liste opp fra venstre nå?

Leeds: Harvey - Cooper, Charlton, Hunter, Reaney - Gray, Giles, Bremner, Lorimer - Jones, Clarke

De spiller 10 vs 10 nå etter masseslagsmål etter at en Solihullspiller tok igjen etter takling. Njenko, spissen, ut hos oss. Lienou var nok også en kandidat blant flere...

...her tar de fighten mot de voksne
https://x.com/RPlufc93/status/2097711691324645439?s=20

En del rotering her ja...

Fire bak, antar eg...